SIR Model Analysis for Transmission of Dengue Fever Disease with Climate Factors Using Lyapunov Function

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Wahyudin Nur, Hirman Rachman, Nurul Mukhlisah Abdal, Muhammad Abdy, Syafruddin Side

2018 Journal of Physics: Conference Series Vol. 1028 Issue 1 Conference paper Cited by 29 Quartile

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to discuss the dynamic system of SIR model with climate factors for transmission characteristics of dengue fever in closed population. Human population is divided into three types, which are susceptible population, infected population, and recovered population, while mosquito population is divided into two kinds that are susceptible population and infected population contaminated by dengue fever virus. Five nonlinear differential equations are analyzed to obtain the equilibrium of the system and the basic reproduction number R 0. Next, the stability of the equilibrium of the system is dissected with three theorems using lyapunov. The results will be in the form of the disease-free equilibrium, the endemic equilibrium, and the basic reproduction number. The basic reproduction number R 0 is influenced by climate factors. If R 0 ≤ 1, the disease-free equilibrium will be asymptotically stable, whereas if R 0 > 1, the endemic equilibrium will become asymptotically stable instead. Based on the results, the dengue fever transmission is affected greatly by the climate of a region. © Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd.

Affiliations

Department of Mathematics, Universitas Sulawesi Barat, Majene, Indonesia; Department of Technology Education, Universitas Negeri, Makassar, Indonesia; Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri, Makassar, Indonesia